As the fantasy football season heats up, managers are pouring over rosters, statistics, and projections in a bid to build the ultimate team. One of the key strategies to gain an edge over the competition lies in recognizing potential sleepers and busts. This article explores the top sleeper picks and potential busts to help you strategize for a winning season.
What Are Sleepers and Busts?
Sleepers are players who are undervalued in drafts but have the potential to outperform their average draft position (ADP). These are often younger players, those in new situations, or veterans looking for a comeback.
Busts, on the other hand, are players who are likely to underperform relative to their draft position. This can be due to age, injuries, team changes, or simply declining performance.
Top Sleepers to Target
Michael Pittman Jr. (WR, Indianapolis Colts)
- ADP: 7th Round
- With the Colts shifting their quarterback strategy, Pittman is poised to take a significant leap in production. He showed promise last season and with a more stable passing game, he could become a focal point in the offense.
Kenneth Gainwell (RB, Philadelphia Eagles)
- ADP: 10th Round
- Gainwell is often overshadowed by bigger names in the Eagles backfield. However, his versatility and ability to catch passes out of the backfield make him a valuable asset, especially in PPR leagues.
Pat Freiermuth (TE, Pittsburgh Steelers)
- ADP: 8th Round
- As one of the few reliable targets in Pittsburgh’s offense, Freiermuth has the potential to break out with increased targets this season. TEs can be hit or miss, but he’s on the rise.
- Traylon Burks (WR, Tennessee Titans)
- ADP: 9th Round
- Burks has flashed potential and should secure a more significant role in the Titans’ passing attack this season. His big-play ability makes him an enticing option for those needing WR depth.
Potential Busts to Avoid
Saquon Barkley (RB, New York Giants)
- ADP: 1st Round
- While Barkley has immense talent, his injury history raises red flags. Many are drafting him high based on name recognition alone, but managing expectations could save you from disappointment.
Clyde Edwards-Helaire (RB, Kansas City Chiefs)
- ADP: 6th Round
- Edwards-Helaire has struggled to find a consistent role in the Chiefs’ prolific offense. With the emergence of other backs, it’s wise to approach him with caution.
Amari Cooper (WR, Cleveland Browns)
- ADP: 5th Round
- Cooper has been inconsistent throughout his career, and with a change in quarterback dynamics in Cleveland, he may fall victim to another up-and-down season.
- Tua Tagovailoa (QB, Miami Dolphins)
- ADP: 8th Round
- While Tua has shown flashes of brilliance, his durability is a concern. With the Dolphins’ offensive weapons, he can put up points, but taking the risk on a potentially injury-plagued season might lead to regrets.
Tips for Managing Sleepers and Busts
- Do Your Research: Keep up with training camp news and preseason games to identify rising players and diminished roles.
- Be Flexible: If you draft a player who turns out to be a bust, stay active on the waiver wire to find emerging talent.
- Trust Your Gut: Statistics are helpful, but personal intuition can also be a great guide. If you believe in a player’s potential, don’t hesitate to make that choice.
Final Thoughts
Navigating the fantasy football landscape can be challenging, but identifying sleepers and busts can provide your team with a significant advantage. By carefully considering each player’s potential upside and risk, you can assemble a roster that not only competes but thrives throughout the season. Happy drafting!
