As the NFL season approaches, fantasy football enthusiasts are gearing up for their drafts, poring over stats, player performances, and expert projections. Amidst the high-profile names and first-round picks, however, lie the sleeper picks—those hidden gems that can make or break your fantasy team. Identifying these players requires a keen eye for potential, an understanding of team dynamics, and a touch of intuition. Here’s a rundown of some sleepers to consider for your upcoming NFL fantasy draft.
What is a Sleeper Pick?
In fantasy football, a sleeper pick refers to a player who is typically undervalued due to factors like previous performance, team situation, or depth chart placement. These players often have the potential to exceed their draft position and can be the difference-makers on your fantasy roster.
Factors to Consider When Identifying Sleepers
Opportunity: A player moving into a starting role or facing less competition can see a significant increase in fantasy production.
Injury Recovery: Players returning from injury often slip in drafts but can have immediate impacts once they regain form.
Coaching Changes: New offensive schemes or coaching staff can rejuvenate a player’s production through altered game plans or schemes.
Young Talent: Rookies or second-year players can often outperform expectations when given a chance.
- Historical Trends: Players who have historically improved performances in certain contexts or under specific coaches are also worth considering.
2023 Sleeper Picks
Quarterbacks
Kenny Pickett (Pittsburgh Steelers)
The Steelers’ young quarterback showed flashes of brilliance during his rookie year. With an improved offensive line and a growing rapport with his receiving corps, Pickett could be poised for a breakout season.
Running Backs
Rashod Penny (Philadelphia Eagles)
Penny is a former first-round pick with a history of impressive performances when healthy. With a talented Eagles offensive line and an increased opportunity due to Miles Sanders’ departure, he has the potential to become a key contributor.
Tyler Allgeier (Atlanta Falcons)
After a solid rookie season, Allgeier may fly under the radar amid the buzz around Bijan Robinson. However, the Falcons’ run-heavy offense can support multiple backs, and Allgeier’s ability to churn out yards makes him a valuable late-round pick.
Wide Receivers
George Pickens (Pittsburgh Steelers)
Pickens showcased his immense talent last season, and with Pickett’s continued development, he could become a favorite target. His ability to stretch the field and make contested catches makes him a sleeper worth targeting.
Jahan Dotson (Washington Commanders)
Dotson had moments of brilliance as a rookie, and with an evolving offense under new coaching, he’s in line for a more prominent role. If he can establish chemistry with his QB, he could vastly exceed his draft position.
Tight Ends
Chigoziem Okonkwo (Tennessee Titans)
Okonkwo emerged as a promising option in the Titans’ offense last season. As the team looks to stabilize its quarterback situation, Okonkwo’s athleticism and ability to exploit defenses could make him a valuable TE2 or even a starter.
Conclusion
Every fantasy football draft requires a mix of strategic picks and calculated risks. While top-tier players are often the main focus, identifying sleeper picks can provide crucial depth and may even land you an unexpected star. As you prepare for your draft, keep an eye on the hidden gems outlined above, and remember that success in fantasy football often lies in finding value where others overlook it. With careful consideration and a little bit of luck, these sleepers could lead your team to victory in the upcoming season. Happy drafting!
