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Calling for a 300-yard passing performance hardly feels outlandish in the modern NFL. In this context, though, it certainly feels less likely than not.
That’s mostly a testament to these two defenses. Philly’s defense allowed a league-best 174.2 passing yards per game this season, and while Kansas City ranked in the middle of the pack, its average allotment was still less than 225 yards per contest.
It’s also a reflection of the lack of volume in these two passing attacks. Hurts eclipsed 300 passing yards once all season, and that came all the way back in September. Mahomes had three 300-yard efforts in 16 regular-season starts and landed south of 250 in both of his team’s playoff tilts.
Yet, this still feels doable for both quarterbacks, though it feels more doable for Mahomes. The Eagles are clearly comfortable (and certainly competent) playing the ground-and-pound game, and if they’re asking Hurts to air it out a ton, that probably spells trouble for the game’s direction. The Chiefs, though, have to lean more heavily on Mahomes, since their rushing attack hasn’t produced many explosive plays. Kansas City hasn’t had a 40-plus-yard run all season, and its longest carry of the postseason was a 15-yard scamper by Mahomes.
Proceed with caution if you’re backing Hurts here, but Mahomes’ chances of hitting that mark feel a pinch better than those odds might imply.
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